Copa do Mundo 2026 — Probabilidades
Probabilidades por seleção
| Seleção |
Grupo |
Vencer grupo |
Avançar grupo |
32-avos |
Oitavas |
Quartas |
Semis |
Final |
Campeão |
| France |
I |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
94.7% |
- |
- |
- |
| Brazil |
C |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
90.6% |
- |
- |
- |
| Canada |
B |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
69.9% |
- |
- |
- |
| Morocco |
C |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
30.1% |
- |
- |
- |
| Norway |
I |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
9.4% |
- |
- |
- |
| Paraguay |
D |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
5.3% |
- |
- |
- |
| Argentina |
J |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
85.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Belgium |
G |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
82.8% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Colombia |
K |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
69.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| England |
L |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
73.2% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Germany |
E |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Mexico |
A |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Netherlands |
F |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Spain |
H |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
96.7% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Switzerland |
B |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
92.6% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| USA |
D |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
87.8% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Algeria |
J |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
7.4% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Australia |
D |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
40.6% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Austria |
J |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
3.3% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
B |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
12.2% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Cape Verde Islands |
H |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
15.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Congo DR |
K |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
26.8% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Croatia |
L |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
7.9% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Curaçao |
E |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Czechia |
A |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Ecuador |
E |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Egypt |
G |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
59.4% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Ghana |
L |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
31.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Haiti |
C |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Iran |
G |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Iraq |
I |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Ivory Coast |
E |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Japan |
F |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Jordan |
J |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| New Zealand |
G |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Panama |
L |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Portugal |
K |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
92.1% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Qatar |
B |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Saudi Arabia |
H |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Scotland |
C |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Senegal |
I |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
17.2% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| South Africa |
A |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| South Korea |
A |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Sweden |
F |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Tunisia |
F |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Türkiye |
D |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Uruguay |
H |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Uzbekistan |
K |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Classificação da fase de grupos
Grupo A
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Mexico |
3 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
| 2 |
South Africa |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-1 |
4 |
| 3 |
South Korea |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
-1 |
3 |
| 4 |
Czechia |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
-4 |
1 |
Grupo B
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Switzerland |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
7 |
| 2 |
Canada |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
4 |
| 3 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-1 |
4 |
| 4 |
Qatar |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
-8 |
1 |
Grupo C
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Brazil |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
| 2 |
Morocco |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
| 3 |
Scotland |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
-3 |
3 |
| 4 |
Haiti |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-6 |
0 |
Grupo D
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
USA |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
| 2 |
Australia |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
| 3 |
Paraguay |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-2 |
4 |
| 4 |
Türkiye |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
-2 |
3 |
Grupo E
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Germany |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
6 |
| 2 |
Ivory Coast |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
| 3 |
Ecuador |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
| 4 |
Curaçao |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
-8 |
1 |
Grupo F
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Netherlands |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
| 2 |
Japan |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
| 3 |
Sweden |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
| 4 |
Tunisia |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-10 |
0 |
Grupo G
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Belgium |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
| 2 |
Egypt |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
| 3 |
Iran |
3 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
| 4 |
New Zealand |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
-6 |
1 |
Grupo H
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Spain |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
| 2 |
Cape Verde Islands |
3 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
| 3 |
Uruguay |
3 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
-1 |
2 |
| 4 |
Saudi Arabia |
3 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
-4 |
2 |
Grupo I
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
France |
3 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
9 |
| 2 |
Norway |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
| 3 |
Senegal |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| 4 |
Iraq |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-11 |
0 |
Grupo J
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Argentina |
3 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
9 |
| 2 |
Austria |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
| 3 |
Algeria |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-2 |
4 |
| 4 |
Jordan |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-5 |
0 |
Grupo K
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
Colombia |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
| 2 |
Portugal |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
| 3 |
Congo DR |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
| 4 |
Uzbekistan |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-9 |
0 |
Grupo L
| # |
Seleção |
J |
V |
E |
D |
SG |
Pts |
| 1 |
England |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
7 |
| 2 |
Croatia |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
| 3 |
Ghana |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
| 4 |
Panama |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-4 |
0 |
Mata-mata
Round of 32
| 28/06 |
South Africa |
0 - 1
|
Canada |
FT |
| 29/06 |
Brazil |
2 - 1
|
Japan |
FT |
| 29/06 |
Germany |
1 - 1
(pen. 3-4)
|
Paraguay |
PEN |
| 30/06 |
Netherlands |
1 - 1
(pen. 2-3)
|
Morocco |
PEN |
| 30/06 |
Ivory Coast |
1 - 2
|
Norway |
FT |
| 30/06 |
France |
3 - 0
|
Sweden |
FT |
| 01/07 |
Mexico |
2 - 0
|
Ecuador |
FT |
| 01/07 |
England |
vs
|
Congo DR |
NS |
| 01/07 |
Belgium |
vs
|
Senegal |
NS |
| 02/07 |
USA |
vs
|
Bosnia & Herzegovina |
NS |
| 02/07 |
Spain |
vs
|
Austria |
NS |
| 02/07 |
Portugal |
vs
|
Croatia |
NS |
| 03/07 |
Switzerland |
vs
|
Algeria |
NS |
| 03/07 |
Australia |
vs
|
Egypt |
NS |
| 03/07 |
Argentina |
vs
|
Cape Verde Islands |
NS |
| 04/07 |
Colombia |
vs
|
Ghana |
NS |
Round of 16
| 04/07 |
Canada |
vs
|
Morocco |
NS |
| 04/07 |
Paraguay |
vs
|
France |
NS |
| 05/07 |
Brazil |
vs
|
Norway |
NS |